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Did Pump Fun Destroy the Altseason?

Photo for the Article - Did Pump Fun Destroy the Altseason?

โ€œThe launch of Pump Fun is directly correlated to the destruction of the altcoin market against $BTC.โ€

This was what crypto analyst Miles Deutscher stressed after seeing โ€œno major โ€˜alt seasonโ€™ across majorsโ€ since the crypto market started to ascend in the latter half of 2024.

  • #CryptoPH thought leader and GCash executive Luis Buenaventura, on the other hand, has also voiced his opinion on the matter.

Whatโ€™s the significance? A healthy discussion provides crypto investors with better guidance on their trading journey.

Definition of terms

Photo for the Article - Did Pump Fun Destroy the Altseason?
  • Altcoins: These are all the cryptocurrencies, except $BTC.ย 
  • Meme Coins: These are cryptocurrencies created from internet jokes and memes. These tokens have no utilities, and their prices depend on community hype.ย 
  • Major Tokens: These are altcoins that function as utility tokens, gas tokens, and ecosystem tokens of different projects and major blockchains such as Ethereum ($ETH), Solana ($SOL), and Binance ($BNB).ย 
  • Pump Fun: A token launchpad built on top of the Solana Network, where users can create, trade, and distribute their own crypto, specifically meme coins.ย 
Photo for the Article - Did Pump Fun Destroy the Altseason?

The Big Picture: In an interview with the writer, Buenaventura said that the current bull run is different from past bull runs because, normally, $BTC rallies first in terms of price, followed by $ETH, then the other altcoins. (Read more: โ€œAre We All Going to Be Crypto Rich in 2025?โ€ by Luis Buenaventura)

  • Now, $BTC and all the altcoins are rallying at the same time.
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The same observation was noted by Deutscher. 

  • According to the crypto analyst, this shift was caused by the existence of meme coinsโ€”because the speculative capital that would have once been poured into the top 200 assets instead jumped the gun and flooded into on-chain low caps.

โ€œThe early birds & insiders got insanely rich from this. And truthfully, there was a lot of money to be made (and still is – it isn’t going away). But most retail (who entered late) lost, as is the case in most altcoin cycles.โ€

Miles Deutscher, Crypto Analyst

Deutscher also explained that what is happening today is due to the flow of funds from โ€œilliquid on-chain memes,โ€ which quickly retraced by negative 7% to 80%.

  • This is vastly different from what happened in 2022, where tradersโ€™ losses were mostly limited to CEX altcoins with solid liquidity, he expounded.

โ€œThus, it became a wealth destruction event much greater than the early 2022 bear (LUNA aside), even though BTC (and some majors) are still in a macro bull trend. Understanding this, it’s clear to see why sentiment is so poor.โ€

Miles Deutscher, Crypto Analyst

But whatโ€™s with Pump Fun?ย 

Photo for the Article - Did Pump Fun Destroy the Altseason?
Total Fees for Pump Fun

The crypto analyst highlighted that the token launchpad โ€œfundamentally changed the game.โ€

For Deutscher, because Pump Fun allows anyone to create and distribute meme coins, it has made the crypto industry โ€œthe biggest casino on the planet.โ€

Photo for the Article - Did Pump Fun Destroy the Altseason?
Pump Fun No. of Tokens Launched

However, he still credited the platform as a โ€œpowerful onboarding tool.โ€

โ€œBtw, I don’t โ€˜blameโ€™ Pump Fun, as its launch is in direct response to the brash crypto regulation which has made it impossible to fair-launch projects. The SEC essentially forced the industry to find ways to make the industry โ€˜fairer,โ€™ as opposed to the VC/insider-fuelled bull run of 2021.”

Buenaventura responded to this analysis, showing pessimism about meme coinsโ€™ lasting effect on the crypto market cycle.

Photo for the Article - Did Pump Fun Destroy the Altseason?

โ€œThis perspective shows an interesting consequence of Pump Ffun’s democratization of meme coin creation, but I’m less certain that it’ll just keep going on this way forever.โ€

Luis Buenaventura, #CryptoPH Thought Leader

The GCash Executive mentioned other trends, such as initial coin offerings (ICOs) and non-fungible tokens (NFTs), that existed in past cycles in 2017 and 2021, respectively.

Neither sustained outside of their respective cycles, Buenaventura explained.

These once-popular initiatives have no relative significance in the present bull run, and he argued that the same fate might happen to meme coins.

โ€œI feel like meme coin creation platforms will see a similar kind of fade over time.โ€

Luis Buenaventura, #CryptoPH Thought Leader

This article is published on BitPinas:ย Did Pump Fun Destroy the Altseason?


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